The Baltics joined NATO in 2004, Russia did nothing despite long control over the region and a large Russian minority. Had Ukraine been in this position the whole war could have been avoided, since Russia would not invade a NATO country
Mearsheimer is not a military expert, so he has no idea how the war will turn out. Even if we accept he’s an expert on politics, the actual situation on the ground will affect the future more. I’d rather listen to what generals say
I use gnome, but it’s basically the worst DE, except all of the other ones that have been tried
It has the least features, so by default the least bugs.
Ukraine in NATO in 1997 would prevent this war, Russia was in no shape to invade anyone, still dealing with Chechnya
I’m questioning his expertise. Every time he says “Russia wouldn’t do that” Russia does it. And he is still considered an expert despite several claims of how Russia:
At this point, you just have to say he’s gotten everything wrong, but continues to double down
No, even if you study all your life, it won’t let you predict the future. People study stocks all their lives and they still can’t beat a simple stock index in the long term. So stop listening to articles that make wrong predictions.
Like Mearshimer who in 2014 predicted Putin had no further territorial ambitions in Ukraine. Yet Putin annexed further regions in Ukraine, despite this “expert” studying stuff.
I’m in Beijing right now, last month good, but this spring was pretty bad
He also wanted Ukraine in NATO I think in 1997
Just because you study something doesn’t mean you magically know the future. Stop following “experts” and form your own opinion
Why should I believe those people? Who made them experts?
Watch the actual developments on the ground, don’t listen to propaganda. Russian telegram channels tell you how the war is going, don’t need a guy to pretend to know the future
They were sounding the alarms for months, since the fall of 2021
They have mobilized 300,000 troops last year. It’s news to Russia that they didn’t contest it, since they fought for and lost Pyatyhatky, just now fighting for and losing Zherebyanky.
There are intense battles in Orikhiv area, but that could go either way. If Russia loses anything “they are not even trying”?
Nobody in the West predicted that? He said it when the Russian troops were already massing at the border.
Shit, I already predicted it. I shorted the Russia ETFs which were liquidated last year (I made 90%+ profit)
I never linked to such people, what are you even talking about
No position to take any territory back? How about the 300km^2 they took back already this summer?
Easy to mix and match package versions with different dependency versions
Imagine listening to someone who is such an expert he said Russia is not stupid enough to invade Ukraine. Yet just a little while later he’s an expert again
The reference is not all warnings are nothingburgers
It’s not their own territory
This is all old articles. Of course, the trajectories put out there are the same, but you need to follow what’s happening on the ground
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-7-2023
What’s possible and not possible will be shown this summer.